2018 Rookie Mock Draft Series 6: Chris Svoboda from Dynasty Happy Hour
For our sixth mock draft in the Expert ADP project we are happy to be joined by Chris Svodoba from Dynasty Happy Hour, one of the staples in this industry and frankly, one of our favorite resources. While Chris is self-admittedly newer to DHH, his work isn't new to us. He's published killer work like this guide to Dynasty Startups, some good analysis on the Derrick Henry situation, and a great breakdown on why people seem to hate Melvin Gordon. The brainchild of Tyler Guenthner, Dynasty Happy Hour is a great place for new articles, podcasts and ADP.
Over the course of the off-season, we will be conducting over thirty mock drafts with various experts in the industry, which will translate to an expert based ADP to help guide you in your rookie drafts. As always:
Scoring Format: 12 Team .5 PPR with .075 Per Return Yard.
Starting Roster: 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 3Flex
Let's get started.
(Christopher) - Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State - This pick isn’t going to surprise anyone. Barkley is one of the best RB prospects to come out in recent memory, and he’s a near lock to go top 10 in the NFL draft. One of the few prospects who may be considered landing spot-proof. Wherever Barkley goes, he will more than likely be a fantasy star, and should be taken at the top of all rookie drafts.
(Eric) - Derrius Guice, RB, LSU - Guice is the lone tier 2 player in this class in my opinion and is a pretty obvious 2nd overall pick. You just cannot argue against his speed and field vision. I look for Guice to be an instant starter next season in the NFL.
(Ronnie) - Nick Chubb, RB, Georgia - Affectionately dubbed “Flower Power Mario” by some dude’s wife on Reddit, for many Chubb is the RB2 in this class. He’s big, he’s powerful, his measurables are elite and his tape mirrors that. There’s a pretty easy argument to be made that he should go above Guice, although I still have the LSU product ahead of Chubb. In PPR leagues however I might end up preferring his teammate Sony Michel.
(Christopher) - James Washington, WR, Oklahoma State - Those who follow me or know me are aware of my love for James Washington. The Oklahoma St. product finished his college career with an incredible college production profile. He had over 1000 yards in 3 out of 4 years, and averaged almost 20 yards per reception for his career. He has been typecast as a deep threat only, but he can do so much more. A player I’ve seen him compared to is Golden Tate, and I think that’s a great comp for him.
(Eric) - Ronald Jones, RB, USC - One of my favorite playmakers in this entire class who has home run abilities on each each touch, Jones will be under the radar because of his recent hamstring injury. Look for him to be a great asset for years to come in dynasty leagues.
(Ronnie) - Sony Michel, RB, Georgia - Everyone keeps calling him the next Alvin Kamara, which I think is ridiculous. He’s not as good as Alvin Kamara, come at me on twitter @ronnieaevans and we can fight about it. That said, Michel is probably the best equipped three down back not named Barkley—he’s an elite pass catcher, and has shown over the last two seasons he can handle his own on 1st and 2nd down. Take him in your drafts, and don’t look back.
(Christopher) - DJ Moore, WR, Maryland - Moore is currently tied as my WR1 with Washington after his stellar combine. Moore answered all questions anyone may have had with his athleticism all while weighing in at 210 lbs at 6’0” tall. He had a great 2017 in college by going over 1000 yards all with the carousel at QB that Maryland had. Moore is great before the catch, at the catch point, and after the catch, making him a threat wherever he lines up.
(Eric) - Rashaad Penny, RB, San Diego State - If Penny falls to 8, he’s the biggest steal of this draft in my opinion. He displays just about every characteristic that makes up a prototypical back in the NFL - he’s got the size, he’s got the speed, he’s got the patience and he can catch the ball. The lone knock on him is his pass blocking leaves much to be desired but this is fixable! Do players get negative points in fantasy for missing blocks? I didn’t think so...
(Ronnie) - Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama - While his age freaks me out a bit (he’s the same age as Amari Cooper), Ridley has all of the tools you’d want out of an elite reciever in the NFL. Would I take him over Corey Davis? No. There isn’t a receiver in this class that I value that high. But in a class with with a weak top end, Davis strikes me as the most NFL ready. If you’re in win now mode, there’s a good chance he’s the guy you want on your team this year.
(Christopher) - Royce Freeman, RB, Oregon - All Royce Freeman did in college was produce. He rushed for over 1100 yards in 3 out of 4 years, and never had less than 10 TDs in a season. He is a load at 229 lbs but he’s not afraid to go out and catch passes. He has multiple 20+ catch seasons in college, and projects to be a 3 down back in the NFL, which is extremely valuable for fantasy.
(Eric) - Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU - For many experts Sutton has been the WR1 throughout the process so far. Some may argue Moore, some may argue Ridley, but in the end Sutton does possess the most stereotypical mold for a WR1 in the NFL. He has the size, he as the speed, he has the hands and he has the technical refinement. For me, I want the WR1, always, and Sutton is the best chance to get that.
(Ronnie) - Dallas Goedert, TE, South Dakota State - Our consensus #1 TE in the class, we hear you on the Gisecki hype—but in the end, when it comes to fantasy production we believe Goedert has the best chance to make an immediate impact for fantasy teams. Sure, he’s not the best blocker. Last time I checked, nobody gets fantasy points for blocking. He’s Travis Kelce 2.0 without the blocks, and you can take that to the bank.
(Ronnie) - Easy St Brown, WR, Notre Dame - Nobody knows how to spell his first name so we took this train to Easy Street. He’s got the intangibles, sure, and is decent enough all around to not raise any eyebrows on the measurables. My only issue with him is his size. He’s the first in line from a trio of what could end up being the Big Baller Brand of the NFL, without the stupidity. Easy St Brown sits comfortably as the 5th reciever on my board, and I’d rather have him than anyone else in the draft at this point.
(Eric) - Kalen Ballage, RB, Arizona State - Is he n athlete or is he a football player? It’s the question of the day right now and probably will be coming into your dynasty rookie drafts but I’ll tell you what, I will use a second round pick on one of the best athletic freaks in the class who has huge upside. You may have to stash him for a year or two but this kid has some freakish abilities and I think he will enjoy some success in the NFL.
(Christopher) - Kerryon Johnson, RB, Auburn - Full disclosure here, I had no idea that Christian Kirk was still on the list when I was making any of my 2nd round picks. He would have been my guy here. In any event, Kerryon is a guy who I like maybe a little more than some. He gets knocked on for running too high, which may be true. However, he’s a good runner inside and out, and also proficient in the receiving game. He can do a little bit of everything for a team that wants to draft him.
(Ronnie) - John Kelly, RB, Tennessee - People like to knock him on his size but I don’t think 5’11 215 is anything to scoff at. Everyone we’ve draft with has loved Kelly. He’s arguably the best pass catcher in the class, has one of the most vicious stiff arms, and earned the nickname “Mr. Crazy Legs” at Tennessee for his uncanny pitter patter and step-per-yard. He’s a ferocious runner, and has the ability to play all three downs at the next level. He also just recorded a 4.51 40 yard dash at his pro day. Keep sleeping on Kelly.
(Eric) - Auden Tate, WR, Florida State - Yeah, his combine was miserable. Yeah, he didn’t run a big route tree at Florida State. Yeah, he’s slower than a few tight ends in this class. You know what though? I like his ceiling. This class is full of average receiver depth and there will be a ton of misses rather than hits but I think Tate has unlimited potential. Please take the ankle weights off though Tate!
(Christopher) - DJ Chark, WR, LSU - Chark is a guy that didn’t have a lot of buzz heading into the combine. At 6’2” and 199 lbs, he surprised some with his 4.34 speed and explosive jumping numbers. Chark may be slightly limited to what he can do as a receiver, but could find his niche as a deep threat guy and a serviceable WR2 on a lot of teams in the NFL.
(Ronnie) - Michael Gallup, WR, Colorado State - Killer last name? Check. Good frame? Check. Good routes? Check. Good speed? Check. Good YAC? Check. Good tape. CHECK. Outside of some lack of improvisation off the line and some lazy effort on run plays, this kid is the real deal. I love getting him here.
(Eric) - Mike Gesicki, TE, Penn State - He proved he was one of the best athletes in the class at the combine and it will go right along with his tremendous tape at Penn State. He should find a good home in the NFL with a TE needy team and I think he will be incredibly productive in the passing game from day one.
(Christopher) - Mark Andrews, TE, Oklahoma - Andrews is considered by many to be the most pro ready TE in the class, and his receiving skills should be able to get him on the field right away. He had 18 TDs in his career at Oklahoma which shows a great ability to get the ball in the red zone. He’s a great route runner and athlete for his size. He ran a 4.67 40 at the combine at 256 lbs. That’s not too shabby at all.
(Ronnie) - Allen Lazard, WR, ISU - Allen Lazard has the size, frame and hands to set himself apart immediately. And don’t be fooled by his tape; His long strides hide his 4.55 speed, which is fantastic for a 6’5” receiver. He has incredible body control at the point of catch, uses his hips well on routes and positions terrifically against DBs, but for me the biggest strength is something you don’t get fantasy points for—he’s an incredible run blocker, which means he’s not coming off the field. There’s a real chance Lazard sneaks into the top 3 rounds in the NFL draft, and I’d love to get him here in my dynasty leagues.
(Eric) - Simmie Cobbs Jr, WR, Indiana - His tape is explosive and far better showcases his abilities rather than the combine. Depending on where Cobbs gets drafted in April, I think his stock will only improve and he could be a WR2 in the NFL, maybe even right out of the gate. Would like to see him get a bit quicker though to beat faster corners at the next level.
(Christopher) - Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma - Baker is my QB1 in this class, for fantasy or otherwise. He’s an exceptionally accurate passer, which I value immensely. He was extremely productive in college and on the big stage in the CFB playoff against stiff competition. His ability to extend plays with his legs make him an extremely enticing option in all fantasy leagues.
(Christopher) - Deon Cain, WR, Clemson
(Eric) - Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M
(Ronnie) - Anthony Miller, WR, Memphis
(Christopher) - Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
(Eric) - Nyheim Hines, RB, NC State
(Ronnie) - Dante Pettis, WR, Washington
(Christopher) - Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
(Eric) - Sam Darnold, QB, USC
(Ronnie) - Justin Jackson, RB, Northwestern
(Christopher) - Tre’Quan Smith, WR, UCF
(Eric) - Jordan Lasley, WR, UCLA
(Ronnie) - DaeSean Hamilton, WR, Penn State
(Ronnie) - Keke Coutee, WR, Texas Tech
(Eric) - Trey Quinn, WR, SMU
(Christopher) - Antonio Callaway, WR, Florida
(Ronnie) - Mark Walton, RB, Miami
(Eric) - Jaleel Scott, WR, New Mexico State
(Christopher) - Jaylen Samuels, RB, NC State
(Ronnie) - Bo Scarbrough, RB, Alabama
(Eric) - Ito Smith, RB, Southern Miss
(Christopher) - Richie James, WR, Middle Tennessee St.
(Ronnie) - Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, USF
(Eric) - Jake Wieneke, WR, South Dakota State
(Christopher) - Roc Thomas, RB, Jacksonville St.
(Christopher) - Chase Edmonds, RB, Fordham
(Eric) - Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina
(Ronnie) - Troy Fumagalli, TE, Wisconsin
(Christopher) - Deontay Burnett, WR, USC
(Eric) - Josh Adams, RB, Notre Dame
(Ronnie) - Marcell Ateman, WR, OKST
(Christopher) - Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma St.
(Eric) - Dylan Cantrell, WR, Texas Tech
(Ronnie) - Ralph Webb, RB, Vanderbilt
(Christopher) - Ian Thomas, TE, Indiana
(Eric) - J’Mon Moore, WR, Missouri
(Ronnie) - Korey Robertson, WR, USM
(Ronnie) - Cedric Wilson, WR, BSU
(Eric) - Akrum Wadley, RB, Iowa
(Christopher) - Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming
(Ronnie) - Darren Carrington II, WR, Utah
(Eric) - Jordan Thomas, TE, Mississippi State
(Christopher) - Kamryn Pettway, RB, Auburn
(Ronnie) - Darrell Williams, RB, LSU
(Eric) - Tyler Conklin, TE, Central Michigan
(Christopher) - Chris Warren II, RB, Texas
(Ronnie) - Byron Pringle, WR, KSU
(Eric) - Daurice Fountain, WR, Northern Iowa
(Christopher) - Braxton Berrios, WR, Miami
Over the next few months, we will be conducting over 30 mock drafts with various experts from all over the dynasty football community. Don't forget to check out Dynasty Happy Hour and listen to their podcast! If you are interested in participating in one of these mocks, head over to our home page and use the "All Other Inquiries" form at the bottom of the Contact Us section!
See you next time,
- - -
#Rookie #MockDraft #2018 #FFStatistics #SaquonBarkley #DynastyFootball #FantasyFootball #kerryonjohnson #AllenLazard #KekeCoutee #JaylenSamuels #MartezCarter #TroyFumugalli #DarrenCarrington #JaleelScott #EquanimeousStBrown #bryonPringle #SamDarnold #RoyceFreeman #CedricWilson #Deoncain #DynastyHappyHour #ChrisSvoboda