2018 Rookie Mock Draft Series 4: Caleb Smith from Dynasty Football Factory
For our fourth mock draft in the Expert ADP project Happy to be joined by Caleb Smith from Dynasty Football Factory, which is a wonderful new fantasy resource. Over the course of the offseason, we will be conducting over thirty mock drafts with various experts in the industry, which will translate to an expert based ADP to help guide you in your rookie drafts. As always:
Scoring Format: 12 Team .5 PPR with .075 Per Return Yard.
Starting Roster: 1QB, 2RB, 3WR, 1TE, 3Flex
Let's get started.
(Ronnie) - Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State - Yawn.
(Caleb) - Derrius Guice, RB, LSU - Guice has been the consistent 1.02 behind Barkley for the majority of owners out there (again, not everybody). With a nice frame and an “angry” running style, Guice also has the ability to catch, as he had 617 receiving yards in high school…. his senior year!
(Eric) - Rashaad Penny, RB, San Diego State - A do-it-all back who has done nothing but getter since his freshman year at SDSU, Penny is going to be one of the most productive players in this class. I view him the same way I viewed Kareem Hunt last year and I think the comparison makes sense. Penny will give an offense a slew of options, though he still needs to prove he can pass block.
(Ronnie) - Ronald Jones, RB, USC - “Unfortunately came up limp during his 40 run and the 4.66 time will scare away the lazy dynasty owner. Don’t fret.“ That was my stance two weeks ago in our mock with Addison Hayes, and I still stand by it. His pro-day will be an important one to watch. Jones is an electric athlete, with some of the quickest feet and fluidity in open space of the class. He’s got the wow factor—not a fournette-esq manhandling of linebackers, that’s actually his biggest knock—but in home run presence? He’s the type of running back that can take the smallest bit of space to the house. We will see if it measures up to NFL competition week one.
(Caleb) - Sony Michel, RB, UGA - Sony is arguably the best all-around back in this draft not named Saquon. He has the ability to run between the tackles with power, as well as catch the ball out of the backfield with finesse. I think Michele’s floor in fantasy should make him an early-mid 1st round pick.
(Eric) - Nick Chubb, RB, Georgia - Chubb is arguably the most powerful back in this class and his quiet speed really separates him from most power backs. I worry about his big playmaking ability and also wonder how useful he will be in the passing game, but as a pure power runner, Chubb is going to be a long time starter in the NFL and should find success depending on which team drafts him in April.
(Ronnie) - Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama - One knock is his age and size, but I tend to find size discrimination overblown in today’s NFL. On the age side, he, Amari Cooper (June) and Todd Gurley turn 24 this year... As does Ridley. He is almost year older than Corey Davis, and Davis was both a better prospect while also a good example of elite prospects taking a while to click. In the end though, he’s been my top receiver for a while. Tape is tape.
(Caleb) - D.J Moore, WR, Maryland - Wide receivers in the 2018 class seem to be a topic of debate, so I get it if someone prefers Sutton, Ridley, or Washington, but for me D.J. Moore is my guy. 59 receptions for 820 yards and 8 touchdowns are decent stats on the season… but his season was only 9 games. Averaging 91.1 yds/g and just under 1 TD/g, Moore’s stats and big play making ability make him a desirable prospect to own.
(Eric) - Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU - Still my WR1 in this class, Sutton proved that he has the athletic intangibles to play at the NFL level after a great combine. His adversaries will argue that Sutton has too much trouble getting open and I cannot deny that, but with his talent and athleticism, he will figure it out. Finding a home with a great QB and a staff that coaches their WR’s to excellence will help Sutton reach the ceiling I believe he has.
(Ronnie) - Royce Freeman, RB, Oregon - I’m hoping he falls to the second round in my drafts, but if I’m in win now mode and he lands in a power scheme I don’t buy any argument that there’s a receiver left on the board you draft over him if you’re contending. Good landing spot? Immediate impact and he can handle the workload, albeit likely on first and second down only.
(Caleb) - James Washington, WR, Ok St. - A well known stat of Washington’s is that he averaged over 19.8 yards per reception on over 200 receptions during the course of his collegiate career. And this is well known for a reason, it’s IMPRESSIVE! And now after his pro-day, his 39” vert is also a well known stat. I’m excited to get him here. This kid could be something really special!
(Eric) - Dallas Goedert, TE, South Dakota State - Overall, the most complete TE in a class that is highly skilled at the position. He will have to get a step quicker in and out of routes but his strength and size will provide mismatches all over the field and because he succeeds in blocking, his snap count should be higher than most rookies in the first year for immediate value.
(Eric) - Easy St. Brown, WR, Notre Dame - Fascinating player who comes from an athletic family with a great educational background. Brown is super intriguing with his gifted size and speed along with his intelligence. Of all the receivers in this class, Brown is the one I trust the most to quickly learn a complex NFL offense in the first year. I think he can be brought in as a WR2 for most teams right now and you will see him play at a level far better than he did at Notre Dame.
(Caleb) - Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M - Kirk accounted for just under 3,000 yards and 26 touchdowns during his three years with Texas A&M. He doesn’t have the best speed for his size, but he has good strength and is quick in and out of his breaks. Slated to be a slot receiver, Kirk’s got all the tools to be a nice fantasy player in this role.
(Ronnie) - Kalen Ballage, RB, ASU - Who is Kalen Ballage? That’s the question that runs through my mind every time I draft him. Is he a gadget back who never fixes his vision and pad level? Or is he the next David Johnson. His combine would lend toward the latter, but I don’t see it. I’d be fine with John Kelly over him if Kelly lands in a bette system.
(Eric) - Auden Tate, WR, Florida State - In my opinion, Tate shows potential as a WR2 in the NFL. His tremendous size overshadows his lack of speed but he will need to rely on better route running to find space against top tier corners at the next level. He should be an immediate red zone threat with huge potential into the future.
(Caleb) - John Kelly, RB, Tennessee - This is one of my favorite values in this mock. Similar to D.J. Moore earlier, John Kelly is “my guy.” Kelly has some of the best hands for a running back in this class. Despite being on a bad Tennessee team (4-8 overall, 0-8 in SEC), he had over 1000 yards, 9 TDs, and 37 receptions his last year.
(Ronnie) - Kerryon Johnson, RB, Auburn - For some reason Kerryon has always left a bad taste in my mouth. Maybe it’s partly because he comes up limp often and then pulls a McCoy and enters the game later, or the fact that he was just plain injured a lot. If you ignore that and watch his tape, he is a force to be reckoned with and could easily be argued as a top 5 back in the class. I just don’t agree with that.
(Eric) - Mike Gesicki, TE, Penn State - Athletic freak who should be a highly targeted weapon for years to come, Gesicki is going to have serious value in the second round. Tight ends don’t historically give you massive points but this is quickly changing in the NFL as tight ends are being used far more often in the passing game. Gesicki will need to progress as a blocker to see the field more often but I see him being drafted as a TE2 in the NFL and bringing his pass catching ability with him which should turn into long term success.
(Caleb) - Mark Andrews, TE, Oklahoma - The 2017 rookie TE class was a deep class that showed a lot of promise during the NFL season. This TE class looks like it could be a repeat of last year. Andrews is my TE3 and I was upset when Gesicki went the pick before, but a 6’5 250lb TE who had 62 receptions for 958 yards and 8 touchdowns…. Yes please!
(Ronnie) - Michael Gallup, WR, CSU - Killer last name? Check. Good frame? Check. Good routes? Check. Good speed? Check. Good YAC? Check. Good tape. CHECK. Outside of some lack of improvisation off the line and some lazy effort on run plays, this kid is the real deal. I love getting him here.
(Eric) - Simmie Cobbs Jr, WR, Indiana - Still a lot of concern with this pick from most experts as he didn’t have a great combine but his tape needs to be taken more seriously anyways. Cobbs has a unique ability to make the most difficult catches look easy and although it will probably take some time, I see WR2 potential at the next level. Depending on where he lands, Cobbs is a player to watch carefully.
(Caleb) - Bo Scarbrough, RB, Alabama - I am a little concerned that Bo’s rushing production went down from his Sophomore to Junior season. He averaged 4.8 yards per attempt last year and 6.5 the year before. But, I do like that he went from 4 receptions as a Sophomore to 17 receptions last year. This shows that despite being a big, bruising back, he has the potential to be involved in the passing game if needed.
(Ronnie) - Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma - If I hear another Johnny Manziel comparison I’m going to lose my mind. Mayfield is more Tebow than Manziel in terms of character, he just happens to like talking smack. He is a born leader, the most accurate QB in this class, and was only throwing the ball 1mph less than Josh Allen, who despite not being able to hit a wall if he ran into it, some of community like better because he "has the best arm ever". Mayfield is bit of a Wilson/Tyrod hybrid and has as much potential as the former.
(Ronnie) - Anthony Miller, WR, Memphis
(Caleb) - Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
(Eric) - Nyheim Hines, RB, NC State
(Ronnie) - Allen Lazard, WR, Iowa State
(Caleb) - Mark Walton, RB, Miami
(Eric) - Jordan Lasley, WR, UCLA
(Ronnie) - Dante Pettis, WR, Washington
(Caleb) - D.J, Chark, WR, LSU
(Eric) - Sam Darnold, QB, USC
(Ronnie) - Justin Jackson, RB, Northwestern
(Caleb) - Deon Cain, WR, Clemson
(Eric) - Trey Quinn, WR, SMU
(Eric) - Jaleel Scott, WR, New Mexico State
(Caleb) - Chase Edmonds, RB, Fordham
(Ronnie) - Keke Coutee, WR, Texas Tech
(Eric) - DaeSean Hamilton, WR, Penn State
(Caleb) - Antonio Callaway, WR, Florida
(Ronnie) - Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
(Eric) - Ito Smith, RB, Southern Miss
(Caleb) - Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina
(Ronnie) - Jaylen Samuels, RB/TE, NC State
(Eric) - Josh Adams, RB, Notre Dame
(Caleb) - Akrum Wadley, RB, Iowa
(Ronnie) - Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR, USF
(Ronnie) - Troy Fumagalli, TE, Wisconsin
(Caleb) - Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming
(Eric) - Jake Wieneke, WR, South Dakota State
(Ronnie) - Marcell Ateman, WR, Oklahoma State
(Caleb) - J’Mon Moore, WR, Missouri
(Eric) - Dylan Cantrell, WR, Texas Tech
(Ronnie) - Ralph Webb, RB, Vanderbilt
(Caleb) - Roc Thomas, RB, JSU
(Eric) - Jordan Thomas, TE, Mississippi State
(Ronnie) - Richie James, WR, MTSU
(Caleb) - Ray Ray McCloud, WR, Clemson
(Eric) - Tre’Quan Smith, WR, UCF
(Eric) - Darren Carrington II, WR, Utah
(Caleb) - Mason Rudolph, QB, Ok State
(Ronnie) - Ian Thomas, TE, Indiana
(Eric) - Cedrick Wilson, WR, Boise State
(Caleb) - Kyle Lauletta, QB, Richmond
(Ronnie) - Korey Robertson, WR, USM
(Eric) - Justin Crawford, RB, West Virginia
(Caleb) - Deontay Burnett, WR, USC
(Ronnie) - Javon Wims, WR, Georgia
(Eric) - Daurice Fountain, WR, Northern Iowa
(Caleb) - Darrel Williams, RB, LSU
(Ronnie) - Byron Pringle, WR, KSU
Over the next few months, we will be conducting over 30 mock drafts with various experts from all over the dynasty football community. If you are interested in participating in one, head over to our home page and use the "All Other Inquiries" form at the bottom of the Contact Us section!
See you next time,
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